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In Search of Antifragility. Into volatility, bitcoin, complex systems, marketing and UT football. Trying to at least be wrong in interesting ways.
Amos Tversky (1937-1996), a towering figure in cognitive and mathematical psychology, devoted his professional life to the study of similarity, judgment, and decision making. He had a unique ability to master the technicalities of normative ideals and then to intuit and demonstrate experimentally their systematic violation due to the vagaries and consequences of human information processing. He created new areas of study and helped transform disciplines as varied as economics, law, medicine, political science, philosophy, and statistics. This book collects forty of Tversky's articles, selected by him in collaboration with the editor during the last months of Tversky's life. It is divided into three sections: Similarity, Judgment, and Preferences. The Preferences section is subdivided into Probabilistic Models of Choice, Choice under Risk and Uncertainty, and Contingent Preferences. Included are several articles written with his frequent collaborator, Nobel Prize-winning economist Daniel Kahneman.
Internet besserwisser.
Benedict Evans used to be a partner at Andreessen Horowitz. Benedict has been working in the media and technology industries for 15 years. He first entered the industry as a sell-side equity analyst in investment banking before moving on to strategy and business development roles at Orange, Channel 4 and NBC Universal. Benedict writes about and discusses strategic and operating issues around consumer technology, ecosystems and mobile platform on his blog and on Twitter.
Entrepreneur and investor. Co-founder, chairman, and former CEO of AngelList. Notable early-stage investments in over 200 companies including Uber, FourSquare, Twitter, and Wish.com.
Essayist, mathematical statistician, former option trader, risk analyst, and aphorist. Work concerns problems of randomness, probability, and uncertainty.