I like Willy too, but it's by definition NOT a black swan. The potential was identified well in advance, predicted by many, and factored into the mental models of hundreds of thousands. The best article in the space in 2021 was even on the subject:
To understand the nuances of this stance and the lessons of history, I recommend reading Only The Strong Survive by @allenf32 and @Big_Al256.
You are a writer, so I assume you like reading. Read this:
also worth reading his latest paper which makes the case for “bitcoin only” pretty well i disagree with some of the points (i mean when did i not disagree with something) but it’s a great read regardless