"When the more moderate citizens start gravitating towards those radicals, its when the moderates begin to lose hope. When you have peaceful protests that fail year after year and then are suddenly met with really harsh brutal counter-tactics, that will shift your average citizen towards the more radical extreme. That will radicalize people quite quickly. The second event that tends to create a loss of hope is a series of consecutive elections where that group loses.

Once ethnic parties have formed, there is nowhere for voters to go. And so they continue to back these individuals even if they recognize these individuals are not the best leaders. At least they are their own leaders."